Ezra Frech is the favourite to win Dancing with the Stars Season 35 with prediction markets, but Harry Shum Jr. leads the judges’ leaderboard. Six couples are left after Jenna Dewan and Val Chmerkovskiy went home on Grammy Night. The semifinals are on Tuesday, November 17, and the finale is on Tuesday, November 24, live on ABC. This guide covers the odds, the scores, each couple’s case, what experts say and how the winner is decided.
Last updated on November 12, 2026, before the semifinals. We update this page after the semifinals.
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DWTS Season 35 Winner Odds and Scores at a Glance
The odds below are from Kalshi, a prediction market, as reported by Kalshi News on November 11. Prices are set by traders, not by the show, and they are not a vote forecast. The judges’ points are our own totals out of 352 from our scores and leaderboard page, and they include the Grammy Night bonus points.
| Couple | Known for | Judges’ points (of 352) | Kalshi winner odds |
| Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson | Actor and dancer | 307 (1st) | 19% |
| Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach | Paralympic champion | 298 (2nd) | 58% |
| Amber Glenn and Pasha Pashkov | Figure skater | 294 (3rd) | 11% |
| Maura Higgins and Mark Ballas | TV personality | 284 (4th) | Not listed |
| Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold | Comedian and podcaster | 263 (5th) | 17% |
| Tatyana Ali and Jan Ravnik | Actress | 256 (6th) | Not listed |
The odds do not add up to 100% because each couple is priced on its own. Kalshi also prices the finale spots. It gave Frech 98%, Shum 94%, Glenn 92% and Wood 91% to make the final, and had Higgins on 70% and Ali on 67% for the fifth place.
Who Is Most Likely to Win DWTS Season 35?
Two couples stand out. Frech has led the winner market since Episode 3 and still leads on Kalshi, even after a 27 out of 30 on Grammy Night and a loss to Glenn and Pashkov in the dance-off. Shum has narrowed the gap, and Kalshi says he is closing in week over week. He has the top judges’ total and had immunity from the dance-off on Grammy Night for having the most points all season.
Betches writer Matthew Huff also names Shum as the frontrunner in a November 11 piece, but says the fan vote is so important that he would not rule anyone out. A midseason column from Her Campus picked Frech to win with Glenn close behind. Polymarket also has Frech on top.
The Case for Each Couple
Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson
The most consistent scorers on the leaderboard. They earned a perfect 40 out of 40 on both Horror Movie Night and Disney Night, then a 29 out of 30, the top score of Grammy Night. Their risk is the fan vote, because the judges’ total does not guarantee a win.
Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach
Frech is the market favourite and a Paralympic champion with a large fan base. His scores have been steady rather than spectacular, with 36 and 37 out of 40 in Weeks 5 and 6, and 27 out of 30 on Grammy Night. Kalshi traders say they still back his dancing and his fans.
Amber Glenn and Pasha Pashkov
Glenn earned the highest score of Dedication Night, 38 out of 40, and won her dance-off against Frech on Grammy Night. She scored 28 out of 30 that night, second to Shum.
Maura Higgins and Mark Ballas
Higgins has been a steady top-four scorer since Week 1, and she won a dance-off on Grammy Night. Huff predicts she will be cut a week before the finale, and Kalshi gives her about a 70% chance to make the final five.
Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold
Wood started near the bottom of the leaderboard and has climbed. He scored 37 out of 40 on Horror Movie Night and 40 out of 40 on the team dance on Disney Night. Judge Derek Hough has predicted that Wood will make the finale. Kalshi has his winner odds at 17%, third.
Tatyana Ali and Jan Ravnik
Ali opened with the lowest score of the premiere women’s night, 12 out of 30, and has improved since. She scored 33 out of 40 on Disney Night and 27 out of 30 on Grammy Night. Huff gives her an outside chance if fans rally behind her story.
How the Winner Is Decided
Carrie Ann Inaba, Derek Hough and Bruno Tonioli score every dance out of 10. The judges’ scores are combined with viewer votes to decide who stays. Dewan and Chmerkovskiy scored 28 out of 30 on Grammy Night and were still eliminated, which shows that a high score does not guarantee safety. To learn how to vote, see our DWTS Season 35 voting guide.
Key Dates: Semifinals and Finale
- Semifinals: Tuesday, November 17, live on ABC. Yahoo Entertainment and Kalshi both report five couples in the finale, so one of the six couples should go home.
- Finale: Tuesday, November 24, live on ABC. Our how to watch guide has air times and streaming options.
- Winner: the champion joins the list of Mirrorball winners on our Dancing with the Stars winners list.
For the full cast, see our DWTS Season 35 cast guide, and for every couple that has left, see our eliminations tracker. Several of the pros then head out on the Dancing with the Stars Live 2027 tour.
DWTS Season 35 Winner Predictions FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?
Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach, with 58% on Kalshi on November 11. Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson are next on 19%.
Who leads the judges’ leaderboard?
Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson, with 307 of 352 points by our totals, ahead of Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach on 298.
Who is left in DWTS Season 35?
Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson, Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach, Amber Glenn and Pasha Pashkov, Maura Higgins and Mark Ballas, Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold, and Tatyana Ali and Jan Ravnik.
When is the DWTS Season 35 finale?
Tuesday, November 24, 2026, live on ABC. The semifinals are on Tuesday, November 17.
How many couples will be in the finale?
Yahoo Entertainment and Kalshi both report five, so one couple should go home in the semifinals.
Can fans vote?
Yes. Viewer votes are combined with the judges’ scores. See our voting guide for the steps.
Who was eliminated on Grammy Night?
Jenna Dewan and Val Chmerkovskiy, despite a 28 out of 30.
Are the odds official?
No. They come from Kalshi, a prediction market, and reflect what traders expect, not a forecast from the show.
Sources: scores are from our own leaderboard, based on published scores from Today, Hollywood Reporter, TVLine and other outlets. Odds are from Kalshi News (November 11). Expert views are from Betches and Her Campus, and Derek Hough’s comments are from TV Insider. Finalist and date details are from Yahoo Entertainment and Kalshi. This page is not affiliated with ABC or Kalshi, and it does not offer betting advice.
Image credit: the featured image is an original graphic made by ReadersFusion and uses no photos from the show. If you are a rights holder and would like anything changed, see our terms of service or contact us.
